{
  "created": "2026-10-06",
  "kind": "own hypothetical analytic model, no actual casino data",
  "turnover_rows": [
    {
      "turnover_czk": 1000,
      "hypothetical_rtp_percent": 96,
      "expected_loss_czk": 40
    },
    {
      "turnover_czk": 5000,
      "hypothetical_rtp_percent": 96,
      "expected_loss_czk": 200
    },
    {
      "turnover_czk": 10000,
      "hypothetical_rtp_percent": 96,
      "expected_loss_czk": 400
    }
  ],
  "toy_model": {
    "stake_per_round_czk": 10,
    "rounds": 10,
    "payout_per_positive_round_czk": 16,
    "probability_positive_fraction": "3/5",
    "probability_zero_fraction": "2/5",
    "independent_rounds_assumed": true,
    "theoretical_rtp_fraction": "24/25",
    "expected_net_czk": -4,
    "net_positive_probability_fraction": "3733209/9765625",
    "distribution": [
      {
        "positive_payout_rounds": 0,
        "probability_numerator": "1024",
        "probability_denominator": "9765625",
        "probability_percent": 0.01048576,
        "gross_czk": 0,
        "net_czk": -100,
        "observed_return_percent": 0
      },
      {
        "positive_payout_rounds": 1,
        "probability_numerator": "3072",
        "probability_denominator": "1953125",
        "probability_percent": 0.1572864,
        "gross_czk": 16,
        "net_czk": -84,
        "observed_return_percent": 16
      },
      {
        "positive_payout_rounds": 2,
        "probability_numerator": "20736",
        "probability_denominator": "1953125",
        "probability_percent": 1.0616832,
        "gross_czk": 32,
        "net_czk": -68,
        "observed_return_percent": 32
      },
      {
        "positive_payout_rounds": 3,
        "probability_numerator": "82944",
        "probability_denominator": "1953125",
        "probability_percent": 4.2467328,
        "gross_czk": 48,
        "net_czk": -52,
        "observed_return_percent": 48
      },
      {
        "positive_payout_rounds": 4,
        "probability_numerator": "217728",
        "probability_denominator": "1953125",
        "probability_percent": 11.1476736,
        "gross_czk": 64,
        "net_czk": -36,
        "observed_return_percent": 64
      },
      {
        "positive_payout_rounds": 5,
        "probability_numerator": "1959552",
        "probability_denominator": "9765625",
        "probability_percent": 20.06581248,
        "gross_czk": 80,
        "net_czk": -20,
        "observed_return_percent": 80
      },
      {
        "positive_payout_rounds": 6,
        "probability_numerator": "489888",
        "probability_denominator": "1953125",
        "probability_percent": 25.0822656,
        "gross_czk": 96,
        "net_czk": -4,
        "observed_return_percent": 96
      },
      {
        "positive_payout_rounds": 7,
        "probability_numerator": "419904",
        "probability_denominator": "1953125",
        "probability_percent": 21.4990848,
        "gross_czk": 112,
        "net_czk": 12,
        "observed_return_percent": 112
      },
      {
        "positive_payout_rounds": 8,
        "probability_numerator": "236196",
        "probability_denominator": "1953125",
        "probability_percent": 12.0932352,
        "gross_czk": 128,
        "net_czk": 28,
        "observed_return_percent": 128
      },
      {
        "positive_payout_rounds": 9,
        "probability_numerator": "78732",
        "probability_denominator": "1953125",
        "probability_percent": 4.0310784,
        "gross_czk": 144,
        "net_czk": 44,
        "observed_return_percent": 144
      },
      {
        "positive_payout_rounds": 10,
        "probability_numerator": "59049",
        "probability_denominator": "9765625",
        "probability_percent": 0.60466176,
        "gross_czk": 160,
        "net_czk": 60,
        "observed_return_percent": 160
      }
    ],
    "method": "Complete exact binomial distribution C(10,k)×(3/5)^k×(2/5)^(10−k); no random simulation or RNG seed."
  }
}